Advanced Soccer Analytics: EURO 2020 Final Predictions (A Shot of Poisson)

Reading Time: 7 minutes What a EURO it has been! It’s had it all: emotions, tension, goals, own goals, records broken, controversial decisions. The EURO 2020 will definitely be remembered for years to come! The final will be played at the Wembley Stadium in London. Can England lift their first EURO trophy in their home ground? Is “football coming home” or is “football coming to Rome”?

Advanced Soccer Analytics: EURO 2020 Semi-Finals Predictions (I got the Poisson, I got the Remedy)

Reading Time: 7 minutes The EURO2020 is turning out as the tournament of surprises and high scores. The model managed to successfully predict the good and efficient performance of Belgium and England. It also predicted that the match between Spain and Croatia would be balanced (with a slight advantage in favor of Spain, as it turned out in overtime). Italy had a hard time but eventually progressed while in the other knockout matches we had surprises that were difficult to predict by a model or experts of the sport. The definition of the model is given in detail at the end of this article.

Advanced Soccer Analytics: EURO 2020 Quarter-Finals Predictions (Choose Your Poisson)

Reading Time: 7 minutes The EURO2020 is turning out as the tournament of surprises and high scores. The model managed to successfully predict the good and efficient performance of Belgium and England. It also predicted that the match between Spain and Croatia would be balanced (with a slight advantage in favor of Spain, as it turned out in overtime). Italy had a hard time but eventually progressed while in the other knockout matches we had surprises that were difficult to predict by a model or experts of the sport. The definition of the model is given in detail at the end of this article.

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